Newcastle United's status as a club has shifted this summer, with those on the inside taking the stance that we will have to adopt a similar model to the likes of Brighton and Bournemouth if we are to continue progressing.
What that has seen this summer is a rather large squad turnover, including a new manager in Matthias Jaissle now manning the touchline. The average age of the squad has been brought down drastically and the club have welcomed aboard some of Europe's most exciting talents for what David Hopkinson has labelled 'Newcastle 2.0'.
Whilst it is an exciting time, it is also one that will see each transfer window for the foreseeable future filled with large amounts of jeopardy and some of the world's biggest clubs sniffing around our talent in an almost constant vicious cycle.
As long as we understand that, though, we'll be all good. Hence my reasoning for writing this article, where I take a look at how long I expect each of the new signings to stay on Tyneside...
Matias Fernandez-Pardo - 2 Years
Let's start with the newest of recruits.
To be quite frank, if the testimony of Lille fans is anything to go by, Pardo will be gone in the time it takes us to finish singing the Blaydon Races.
The Belgian was demanding Champions League football at the start of the window, but softened that toward the end just to make sure he secured a move, after doing something very similar to Alexander Isak.
That alone would suggest we won't be seeing him in black and white for very long; two good seasons of free flowing attacking football and, as long as he performs well, I can see him moving on for a good chunk of cash.
Bazoumana Toure - 5 Years
Wingers are a hot commodity these days, so this very much depends on whether Toure hits the ground running and, if he puts up some ridiculous numbers this season, we could be looking at a much shorter stint.
But there is something about his character that makes me think he would be easier to convince to stay, especially if we are still doing well. Toure is an exceptionally jolly guy, just happy to be a part of it all and he has already endeared himself to the Geordie faithful having barely played yet.
If his start to the season is anything to go by, it might also take him a bit longer to bed in and get a regular start than some of the others, meaning I think five years is a good estimation.
Lukas Hornicek - 3 Years
Hornicek is a 24-year-old goalkeeper who has already proven he has all the abilities to succeed in the Premier League.
We'll talk about his understudy who was also brought in this summer in a second, but the fact that Newcastle have two nicely aged goalkeepers means one will likely move on in the next few years.
I do believe that one will be Hornicek, mainly because, as the starting goalkeeper, he'll be in the spotlight and be courted by some of the world's top clubs over the next few years.
A good three year stint to nurture Jaouen and then get a hefty fee with a ready made number 1 able to step in... sounds good to me.
Ewen Jaouen - 8 Years
Working on the basis that what I said before will occur, a good eight year stint, if not longer, for Jaouen feels right.
At 20 years old the Frenchman has a long road ahead of him as a goalkeeper. In preseason he showed some frailty but also some big promise, including two penalty saves in a shootout but it does look like a few years of development will serve him well.
So, three years behind Hornicek, four + years in between the sticks - that seems like a pretty perfect timeline to me, it's just whether he's patient enough to wait for his chance.
Amar Dedic - 4 Years
We better hope Dedic slows down slightly from his current vein of form or we could be looking at a January departure never mind 4 years down the line...
In all seriousness though, this is quite a difficult one to quantify given the dynamic between him and Livramento is unclear.
With Dedic's current performances he will obviously continue to be the starter, even once Livramento is back, and given he is a new signing we can probably expect Tino to be the first one of the two to go - in fact I think Tino would have already gone this summer had he not got injured.
But again, if Dedic continues playing the way he is there will undoubtedly be clubs sniffing around in the very near future. I think four years is a good estimate given his links with Matthias Jaissle and how he already appears to have bought into the club and what we are trying to build.
But he has all of the attributes to be one of the best full backs in the world based on what we've seen, which does give me an air of caution with his stint on Tyneside.
Sean Steur - 3 Years
Steur is an interesting one because he have already seen he has an exceptional amount of talent that would suggest he will be an absolute world beater soon enough.
But similar to what I'll talk about in a moment with Bamba, there is a large barrier to entry in Newcastle's midfield at present with Nico Gonzalez, Lewis Miley and even possibly Joelinton once he returns from injury ahead of him in the pecking order.
Still, I do expect him to get a rather hefty amount of minutes across the season and, if he does continue to thrive over the next couple of years, I think the club are more likely to sell him on for a massive fee than a player like Miley who is homegrown, or Gonzalez who is the main man in this phase of the project.
Aladji Bamba - 5 Years
I think it is clear that Bamba is going to take a lot more nurturing than some of the other midfield options we have and again, similar to Steur, there is a lot of barriers to him getting regular first team minutes.
That could mean one of two things for the Frenchman in my opinion. Either he stays around until the pathway is free and he is ready to take on the mantle - which he is more than capable of doing if developed correctly or he never really gets the chance to shine and becomes a little bit of a failed experiment in black and white.
For the sake of this article, we'll go with the more optimistic of those two options - meaning I think he gets his proper chance after a couple of years and progresses well before being sold on for a nice bit of profit in around five years time.
Nico Gonzalez - 6 Years
When I tell you I think Nico has really bought in to the project, the club and everything around it I couldn't be more sure.
I'm not saying anything about his loyalty, because we know that isn't something that is present in the modern game, but it does feel as though he has been told he will be the main cog in the current project and is excited at having that star man status.
For that reason, I believe that as long as we are continuing to progress, he will be at the club. That means that I'm giving him a very solid six year stint, which would take him to 30 years old, before he moves on as a club legend (big claim, I know).
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