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Computer predictions spell bad news for Newcastle United

By Durim Halimi

NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 27: General view inside the stadium ahead of the Premier League match between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers at St. James Park on October 27, 2019 in Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom. (Photo by Mark Runnacles/Getty Images)
NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 27: General view inside the stadium ahead of the Premier League match between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers at St. James Park on October 27, 2019 in Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom. (Photo by Mark Runnacles/Getty Images) /
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The latest computer predictions have Newcastle United struggling to claim points in their last nine games.

Newcastle United are currently 13th in the table with 35 points. The Magpies find themselves eight points clear of the bottom three and four points shy of the top ten.

For a team that has only scored 25 goals in 29 games, Steve Bruce has the Toon in a great spot. Prior to the season being put on hold, Newcastle United earned a 1-0 victory over Southampton, but only claimed nine points from their last seven games.

To conclude the campaign, Newcastle United have one of the most lenient schedules on paper, but the latest predictions from FiveThirtyEight have the Magpies as underdogs in seven of their last nine games.

In my opinion, that is a bit harsh, especially since games will be played without fans, which makes every game a neutral setting. Five of Newcastle United’s last nine opponents include Aston Villa (19th), Bournemouth (18th), West Ham (16th), Watford (17th) and Brighton (15th).

Of these games, FiveThirtyEight has Newcastle United as slight favorites against Aston Villa and West Ham, but the Magpies are tapped to lose against Bournemouth, Watford and Brighton.

The games against the Cherries, Hornets and Seagulls are away from home, however, Bundesliga statistics show that the away team has won 53% of games since the empty stadium policy was implemented.

Newcastle United will also have some difficult games against Sheffield United, Manchester City, Tottenham and Liverpool. As one can guess, the computer has the Magpies as major underdogs in those clashes.

Playing with the underdog label is something Newcastle United are used to, and they have actually caused quite a few upsets against top teams this season.

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Overall, though, FiveThirtyEight calculations predict Newcastle United to avoid the drop and finish the season with 41 points. Stay tuned over the next few days as our site will share its end-of-season predictions for Newcastle United.